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V-Lab

FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI Index - Kuala Lumpur Composite Index Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026

1 Day

10.20%

increased by 1.97%

1 Week

10.47%

increased by 2.24%

1 Month

11.44%

increased by 3.21%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 10:03 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI Index - Kuala Lumpur Composite Index AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 5, 1992 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.992, volatility shocks have a half-life of 88 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 34% more than positive returns

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0144
24.63***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1933
36.25***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7658
227.85***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0661
8.85***

Persistence:

0.992

Half-life:

88 days