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V-Lab

Dow Jones Euro Stoxx Index Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026

1 Day

14.08%

increased by 0.23%

1 Week

14.28%

increased by 0.43%

1 Month

14.93%

increased by 1.08%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, September 10, 2026 at 06:15 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Dow Jones Euro Stoxx Index AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 25, 1998 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 231% more than equivalent positive returns.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 231% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0335
6.82***
αARCH0.0821
5.14***
βGARCH0.7951
72.00***
γleverage0.1900
7.18***

0.972

Persistence

25d

Half-life
μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0335
6.82***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0821
5.14***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7951
72.00***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1900
7.18***

Persistence:

0.972

Half-life:

25 days