V-Lab
Dow Jones Euro Stoxx Index Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026
1 Day
14.08%
increased by 0.23%
1 Week
14.28%
increased by 0.43%
1 Month
14.93%
increased by 1.08%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, September 10, 2026 at 06:15 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 25, 1998 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 231% more than equivalent positive returns.
μ
AMEM Model
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Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 231% more than positive returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0335 | 6.82*** |
| αARCH | 0.0821 | 5.14*** |
| βGARCH | 0.7951 | 72.00*** |
| γleverage | 0.1900 | 7.18*** |
0.972
Persistence25d
Half-lifeμ
AMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0335 | 6.82*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0821 | 5.14*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7951 | 72.00*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1900 | 7.18*** |
Persistence:
0.972
Half-life:
25 days
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