V-Lab
Dow Jones Euro Stoxx Index Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
10.87%
decreased by 0.53%
1 Week
11.33%
decreased by 0.07%
1 Month
12.73%
increased by 1.33%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 06:19 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 25, 1998 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 233% more than equivalent positive returns.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0338 | 27.42*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0817 | 20.43*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7951 | 287.65*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1904 | 28.75*** |
Persistence:
0.972
Half-life:
24 days
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