V-Lab
EURO STOXX 50 Price EUR Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026
1 Day
14.22%
decreased by 1.00%
1 Week
14.52%
decreased by 0.70%
1 Month
15.50%
increased by 0.28%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 06:33 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 25, 1998 to Sep 11, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 225% more than equivalent positive returns.
μ
AMEM Model
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Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 225% more than positive returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0391 | 6.55*** |
| αARCH | 0.0857 | 5.31*** |
| βGARCH | 0.7910 | 71.30*** |
| γleverage | 0.1932 | 6.80*** |
0.973
Persistence26d
Half-lifeμ
AMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0391 | 6.55*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0857 | 5.31*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7910 | 71.30*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1932 | 6.80*** |
Persistence:
0.973
Half-life:
26 days
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