EURO STOXX 50 Price EUR Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, November 3rd, 2026
1 Day
13.11%
decreased by 0.59%
1 Week
13.49%
decreased by 0.21%
1 Month
14.70%
increased by 1.00%
Analysis last updated: Monday, November 2, 2026 at 07:09 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 25, 1998 to Oct 30, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 224% more than equivalent positive returns.
μ
AMEM Model
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Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 224% more than positive returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0389 | 6.53*** |
| αARCH | 0.0856 | 5.32*** |
| βGARCH | 0.7916 | 71.50*** |
| γleverage | 0.1922 | 6.78*** |
0.973
Persistence26d
Half-lifeμ
AMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0389 | 6.53*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0856 | 5.32*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7916 | 71.50*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1922 | 6.78*** |
Persistence:
0.973
Half-life:
26 days
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