V-Lab
EURO STOXX 50 Price EUR Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026
1 Day
12.61%
decreased by 0.87%
1 Week
13.04%
decreased by 0.44%
1 Month
14.41%
increased by 0.93%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 4, 2026 at 06:15 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 25, 1998 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 225% more than equivalent positive returns.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0396 | 26.36*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0861 | 21.26*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7903 | 283.78*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1936 | 27.14*** |
Persistence:
0.973
Half-life:
25 days
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