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V-Lab

EURO STOXX 50 Price EUR Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

12.61%

decreased by 0.87%

1 Week

13.04%

decreased by 0.44%

1 Month

14.41%

increased by 0.93%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 4, 2026 at 06:15 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of EURO STOXX 50 Price EUR AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 25, 1998 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 225% more than equivalent positive returns.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0396
26.36***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0861
21.26***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7903
283.78***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1936
27.14***

Persistence:

0.973

Half-life:

25 days