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EURO STOXX 50 Price EUR Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, November 3rd, 2026

1 Day

13.11%

decreased by 0.59%

1 Week

13.49%

decreased by 0.21%

1 Month

14.70%

increased by 1.00%

Analysis last updated: Monday, November 2, 2026 at 07:09 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/02/2024

to

11/02/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of EURO STOXX 50 Price EUR AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 25, 1998 to Oct 30, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 224% more than equivalent positive returns.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 224% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0389
6.53***
αARCH0.0856
5.32***
βGARCH0.7916
71.50***
γleverage0.1922
6.78***

0.973

Persistence

26d

Half-life
μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0389
6.53***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0856
5.32***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7916
71.50***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1922
6.78***

Persistence:

0.973

Half-life:

26 days