V-Lab
OMX Copenhagen 20 Index Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026
1 Day
14.43%
decreased by 0.74%
1 Week
14.75%
decreased by 0.42%
1 Month
15.74%
increased by 0.57%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 12, 2026 at 12:48 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 26, 1993 to Sep 10, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 78% more than equivalent positive returns.
μ
AMEM Model
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Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 78% more than positive returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0428 | 8.52*** |
| αARCH | 0.1243 | 8.27*** |
| βGARCH | 0.7983 | 73.45*** |
| γleverage | 0.0967 | 3.56*** |
0.971
Persistence23d
Half-lifeμ
AMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0428 | 8.52*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1243 | 8.27*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7983 | 73.45*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0967 | 3.56*** |
Persistence:
0.971
Half-life:
23 days
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