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V-Lab

OMX Copenhagen 20 Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026

1 Day

17.81%

decreased by 0.59%

1 Week

18.25%

decreased by 0.15%

1 Month

19.09%

increased by 0.69%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 19, 2026 at 05:50 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of OMX Copenhagen 20 Index MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Sep 18, 2026
Stationarity Enforced

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 325% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 325% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow31
αARCH0.0368
2.69***
βGARCH0.7955
36.33***
γleverage0.1195
5.40***
λ₁tau intercept0.0048
2.21**
λ₂forecast adj.0.0162
2.39**
λ₃tau persistence0.9804
134.98***

0.892

Persistence

6d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

31
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0368
2.69***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7955
36.33***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1195
5.40***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0048
2.21**
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0162
2.39**
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9804
134.98***

Persistence:

0.892

Half-life:

6 days