Skip to main content
V-Lab

CAC 40 Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

16.32%

decreased by 0.70%

1 Week

16.43%

decreased by 0.59%

1 Month

16.72%

decreased by 0.30%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 04:03 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of CAC 40 Index MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

66
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8642
260.15***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1643
43.44***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0082
4.24***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0308
3.90***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9638
103.43***

Persistence:

0.946

Half-life:

13 days