V-Lab
CAC 40 Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026
1 Day
11.84%
decreased by 0.20%
1 Week
12.31%
increased by 0.27%
1 Month
13.81%
increased by 1.77%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 04:02 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0353 | 16.10*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0114 | 5.20*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8996 | 441.64*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1337 | 28.19*** |
Persistence:
0.978
Half-life:
31 days
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