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V-Lab

CAC 40 Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 16th, 2026

1 Day

14.71%

decreased by 0.41%

1 Week

14.98%

decreased by 0.14%

1 Month

15.86%

increased by 0.74%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 15, 2026 at 04:03 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/15/2024

to

10/15/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of CAC 40 Index GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 9, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0348
4.03***
αARCH0.0114
1.31
βGARCH0.9005
111.47***
γleverage0.1322
7.01***

0.978

Persistence

31d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0348
4.03***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0114
1.31
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9005
111.47***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1322
7.01***

Persistence:

0.978

Half-life:

31 days