V-Lab
NASDAQ Composite Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
19.33%
decreased by 0.60%
1 Week
19.40%
decreased by 0.53%
1 Month
19.65%
decreased by 0.28%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 12:03 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 1, 1990 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0309 | 23.62*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0266 | 11.00*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8932 | 440.85*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1261 | 24.20*** |
Persistence:
0.983
Half-life:
40 days
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