Skip to main content
V-Lab

Russell 1000 Value Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026

1 Day

8.96%

decreased by 0.19%

1 Week

9.41%

increased by 0.26%

1 Month

10.81%

increased by 1.66%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 15, 2026 at 12:06 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Russell 1000 Value Index GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 12, 2000 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0239
19.15***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0031
1.24
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8868
393.08***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1750
30.73***

Persistence:

0.977

Half-life:

30 days