V-Lab
Russell 1000 Value Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026
1 Day
10.22%
decreased by 0.25%
1 Week
10.57%
increased by 0.10%
1 Month
11.68%
increased by 1.21%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 6, 2026 at 12:04 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 12, 2000 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0239 | 19.16*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0034 | 1.33 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8868 | 392.22*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1744 | 30.60*** |
Persistence:
0.977
Half-life:
30 days
Other Russell 1000 Value Index Analyses
Other GJR-GARCH Analyses on Equity Indices