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Russell 1000 Value Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 6th, 2026

1 Day

10.46%

decreased by 0.33%

1 Week

10.78%

decreased by 0.01%

1 Month

11.82%

increased by 1.03%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, October 6, 2026 at 12:08 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/05/2024

to

10/05/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Russell 1000 Value Index GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 12, 2000 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0236
4.79***
αARCH0.0034
0.34
βGARCH0.8873
98.63***
γleverage0.1735
7.67***

0.977

Persistence

30d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0236
4.79***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0034
0.34
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8873
98.63***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1735
7.67***

Persistence:

0.977

Half-life:

30 days