V-Lab
Russell 1000 Value Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026
1 Day
8.96%
decreased by 0.19%
1 Week
9.41%
increased by 0.26%
1 Month
10.81%
increased by 1.66%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 15, 2026 at 12:06 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 12, 2000 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0239 | 19.15*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0031 | 1.24 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8868 | 393.08*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1750 | 30.73*** |
Persistence:
0.977
Half-life:
30 days
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