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V-Lab

Dow Jones Euro Stoxx Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

12.15%

decreased by 0.30%

1 Week

12.66%

increased by 0.21%

1 Month

13.87%

increased by 1.42%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 06:16 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Dow Jones Euro Stoxx Index MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

36
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8460
269.44***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1801
34.77***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0052
4.71***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0171
2.70***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9784
130.83***

Persistence:

0.936

Half-life:

10 days