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Dow Jones Euro Stoxx Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026

1 Day

15.38%

decreased by 0.83%

1 Week

15.32%

decreased by 0.89%

1 Month

15.27%

decreased by 0.94%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 06:04 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/02/2024

to

10/02/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Dow Jones Euro Stoxx Index MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow36
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.8466
57.92***
γleverage0.1794
12.19***
λ₁tau intercept0.0052
2.43**
λ₂forecast adj.0.0170
1.68*
λ₃tau persistence0.9784
84.04***

0.936

Persistence

11d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

36
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8466
57.92***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1794
12.19***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0052
2.43**
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0170
1.68*
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9784
84.04***

Persistence:

0.936

Half-life:

11 days