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V-Lab

FT Wilshire 5000 Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, July 17th, 2026

1 Day

12.22%

increased by 0.14%

1 Week

12.67%

increased by 0.59%

1 Month

13.88%

increased by 1.80%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 2, 2026 at 04:38 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of FT Wilshire 5000 Index MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Jul 16, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow61
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.8353
61.99***
γleverage0.2016
12.71***
λ₁tau intercept0.0094
1.81*
λ₂forecast adj.0.0627
2.31**
λ₃tau persistence0.9280
29.80***

0.936

Persistence

10d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

61
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8353
61.99***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2016
12.71***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0094
1.81*
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0627
2.31**
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9280
29.80***

Persistence:

0.936

Half-life:

10 days