V-Lab
FT Wilshire 5000 Index GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, July 17th, 2026
1 Day
11.43%
decreased by 0.24%
1 Week
11.66%
decreased by 0.01%
1 Month
12.45%
increased by 0.78%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 19, 2026 at 07:03 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 1, 1990 to Jan 2, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 45 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 45 days.
σ
GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0186 | 22.49*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1065 | 43.69*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8782 | 371.66*** |
Persistence:
0.985
Half-life:
45 days
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