V-Lab
FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI Index - Kuala Lumpur Composite Index GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026
1 Day
10.59%
increased by 1.30%
1 Week
10.75%
increased by 1.46%
1 Month
11.39%
increased by 2.10%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 10:02 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 11, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.998, volatility shocks have a half-life of 354 trading days (~1.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
σ
GARCH Model
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High persistence: persistence 0.998, shock half-life ~354 days
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0080 | 5.55*** |
| αARCH | 0.1079 | 11.10*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8902 | 104.62*** |
0.998
Persistence354d
Half-lifeσ
GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0080 | 5.55*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1079 | 11.10*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8902 | 104.62*** |
Persistence:
0.998
Half-life:
354 days
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