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V-Lab

FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI Index - Kuala Lumpur Composite Index GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026

1 Day

10.59%

increased by 1.30%

1 Week

10.75%

increased by 1.46%

1 Month

11.39%

increased by 2.10%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 10:02 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI Index - Kuala Lumpur Composite Index GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, volatility shocks have a half-life of 354 trading days (~1.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.998, shock half-life ~354 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0080
5.55***
αARCH0.1079
11.10***
βGARCH0.8902
104.62***

0.998

Persistence

354d

Half-life
σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0080
5.55***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1079
11.10***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8902
104.62***

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

354 days