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V-Lab

FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI Index - Kuala Lumpur Composite Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

8.63%

decreased by 0.22%

1 Week

9.11%

increased by 0.26%

1 Month

9.91%

increased by 1.06%

Analysis last updated: Monday, July 13, 2026 at 01:00 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI Index - Kuala Lumpur Composite Index MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 198% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0706
21.91***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7150
87.20***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1399
25.23***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0025
4.58***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0445
8.93***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9530
177.96***

Persistence:

0.856

Half-life:

4 days