FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI Index - Kuala Lumpur Composite Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
8.63%
decreased by 0.22%
1 Week
9.11%
increased by 0.26%
1 Month
9.91%
increased by 1.06%
Analysis last updated: Monday, July 13, 2026 at 01:00 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 198% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0706 | 21.91*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7150 | 87.20*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1399 | 25.23*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0025 | 4.58*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0445 | 8.93*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9530 | 177.96*** |
Persistence:
0.856
Half-life:
4 days
Other MF2-GARCH Analyses on Equity Indices