FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI Index - Kuala Lumpur Composite Index EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, July 16th, 2026
1 Day
9.76%
increased by 0.49%
1 Week
9.96%
increased by 0.69%
1 Month
10.74%
increased by 1.47%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 15, 2026 at 10:03 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 59% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0062 | 8.08*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2091 | 48.99*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9856 | 1,544.87*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0475 | -14.59*** |
Persistence:
0.986
Half-life:
48 days
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