V-Lab
FTSE World Italy Large Cap Index EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026
1 Day
13.26%
decreased by 0.59%
1 Week
13.61%
decreased by 0.24%
1 Month
14.90%
increased by 1.05%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 12, 2026 at 12:48 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 1, 1998 to Sep 10, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 297% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
EGARCH Model
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Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 297% more than positive returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0175 | 1.68* |
| αARCH | 0.1666 | 8.51*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9759 | 198.12*** |
| γleverage | -0.0996 | -5.68*** |
0.976
Persistence28d
Half-lifeσ
EGARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0175 | 1.68* |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1666 | 8.51*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9759 | 198.12*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0996 | -5.68*** |
Persistence:
0.976
Half-life:
28 days
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