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FTSE World Italy Large Cap Index EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026

1 Day

13.26%

decreased by 0.59%

1 Week

13.61%

decreased by 0.24%

1 Month

14.90%

increased by 1.05%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 12, 2026 at 12:48 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of FTSE World Italy Large Cap Index EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1998 to Sep 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 297% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 297% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0175
1.68*
αARCH0.1666
8.51***
βGARCH0.9759
198.12***
γleverage-0.0996
-5.68***

0.976

Persistence

28d

Half-life
σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0175
1.68*
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1666
8.51***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9759
198.12***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0996
-5.68***

Persistence:

0.976

Half-life:

28 days