V-Lab
FTSE World Italy Large Cap Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026
1 Day
19.42%
increased by 6.05%
1 Week
19.56%
increased by 6.19%
1 Month
20.05%
increased by 6.68%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 11:21 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 1, 1998 to Apr 30, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0335 | 23.47*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0309 | 9.13*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8898 | 407.79*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1283 | 20.68*** |
Persistence:
0.985
Half-life:
46 days
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