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FTSE World Italy Large Cap Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, November 6th, 2026

1 Day

20.70%

increased by 0.70%

1 Week

20.79%

increased by 0.79%

1 Month

21.10%

increased by 1.10%

Analysis last updated: Friday, November 6, 2026 at 07:33 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/05/2024

to

11/05/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of FTSE World Italy Large Cap Index GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1998 to Nov 5, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0331
5.88***
αARCH0.0301
2.27**
βGARCH0.8912
103.62***
γleverage0.1268
5.22***

0.985

Persistence

45d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0331
5.88***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0301
2.27**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8912
103.62***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1268
5.22***

Persistence:

0.985

Half-life:

45 days