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V-Lab

FTSE World Italy Large Cap Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026

1 Day

19.42%

increased by 6.05%

1 Week

19.56%

increased by 6.19%

1 Month

20.05%

increased by 6.68%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 11:21 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of FTSE World Italy Large Cap Index GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1998 to Apr 30, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0335
23.47***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0309
9.13***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8898
407.79***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1283
20.68***

Persistence:

0.985

Half-life:

46 days