V-Lab
FTSE 100 Index EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
8.52%
decreased by 0.29%
1 Week
8.75%
decreased by 0.06%
1 Month
9.61%
increased by 0.80%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 05:03 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 1, 1990 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | -0.0001 | -0.06 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1390 | 44.96*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9788 | 920.75*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1041 | -37.51*** |
Persistence:
0.979
Half-life:
32 days
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