V-Lab
Karachi Stock Exchange KSE100 Index EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, August 7th, 2026
1 Day
20.45%
decreased by 0.50%
1 Week
20.72%
decreased by 0.23%
1 Month
21.44%
increased by 0.49%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 05:47 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 1, 1990 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 62% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0499 | 19.66*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2527 | 35.36*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9293 | 120.91*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0595 | -13.66*** |
Persistence:
0.929
Half-life:
9 days
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