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V-Lab

Karachi Stock Exchange KSE100 Index EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, August 7th, 2026

1 Day

20.45%

decreased by 0.50%

1 Week

20.72%

decreased by 0.23%

1 Month

21.44%

increased by 0.49%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 05:47 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Karachi Stock Exchange KSE100 Index EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 62% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0499
19.66***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2527
35.36***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9293
120.91***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0595
-13.66***

Persistence:

0.929

Half-life:

9 days