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V-Lab

Karachi Stock Exchange KSE100 Index MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026

1 Day

23.12%

increased by 7.07%

1 Week

23.68%

increased by 7.63%

1 Month

25.62%

increased by 9.57%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 12, 2026 at 12:48 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Karachi Stock Exchange KSE100 Index MEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 10, 1998 to Sep 10, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 47 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 47 days.

μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 47-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0836
1.88*
αARCH0.3522
7.11***
βGARCH0.6333
15.46***

0.985

Persistence

47d

Half-life
μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0836
1.88*
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3522
7.11***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6333
15.46***

Persistence:

0.985

Half-life:

47 days