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V-Lab

Karachi Stock Exchange KSE100 Index Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, July 17th, 2026

1 Day

27.75%

decreased by 2.38%

1 Week

28.10%

decreased by 2.03%

1 Month

29.34%

decreased by 0.79%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 17, 2026 at 11:35 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Karachi Stock Exchange KSE100 Index AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 10, 1998 to Jun 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 47% more than equivalent positive returns.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0776
13.89***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2717
16.15***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6514
76.55***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1285
4.75***

Persistence:

0.987

Half-life:

55 days