V-Lab
FTSE 100 Index Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026
1 Day
9.26%
decreased by 0.12%
1 Week
9.63%
increased by 0.25%
1 Month
10.80%
increased by 1.42%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 05:03 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 1, 1990 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 133% more than equivalent positive returns.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0231 | 25.28*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1018 | 29.19*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8049 | 312.12*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1349 | 20.12*** |
Persistence:
0.974
Half-life:
27 days
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