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V-Lab

Swiss Market Index Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 12th, 2026

1 Day

11.70%

decreased by 0.85%

1 Week

12.01%

decreased by 0.54%

1 Month

12.94%

increased by 0.39%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 9, 2026 at 05:07 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/09/2024

to

10/09/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Swiss Market Index AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 19, 1991 to Oct 9, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 138% more than equivalent positive returns.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 138% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0350
9.94***
αARCH0.1101
6.89***
βGARCH0.7776
69.46***
γleverage0.1516
5.94***

0.963

Persistence

19d

Half-life
μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0350
9.94***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1101
6.89***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7776
69.46***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1516
5.94***

Persistence:

0.963

Half-life:

19 days