V-Lab
Swiss Market Index MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, October 7th, 2026
1 Day
13.85%
decreased by 0.02%
1 Week
14.06%
increased by 0.19%
1 Month
14.72%
increased by 0.85%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, October 6, 2026 at 06:03 PM UTC
Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 19, 1991 to Oct 2, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 22 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 22 days.
μ
MEM Model
Tap to view equation
Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 22-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0351 | 2.26** |
| αARCH | 0.2307 | 10.88*** |
| βGARCH | 0.7389 | 57.63*** |
0.970
Persistence22d
Half-lifeμ
MEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0351 | 2.26** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2307 | 10.88*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7389 | 57.63*** |
Persistence:
0.970
Half-life:
22 days
Other Swiss Market Index Analyses
Other MEM Analyses on Equity Indices