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V-Lab
V-Lab

Swiss Market Index MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026

1 Day

12.83%

decreased by 1.11%

1 Week

13.12%

decreased by 0.82%

1 Month

14.01%

increased by 0.07%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 16, 2026 at 05:05 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/16/2024

to

10/16/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Swiss Market Index MEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 19, 1991 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 22 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 22 days.

μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 22-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0351
2.27**
αARCH0.2304
10.89***
βGARCH0.7391
57.71***

0.970

Persistence

22d

Half-life
μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0351
2.27**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2304
10.89***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7391
57.71***

Persistence:

0.970

Half-life:

22 days