FTSE TWSE Taiwan 50 Index Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, July 17th, 2026
1 Day
30.77%
decreased by 1.29%
1 Week
30.53%
decreased by 1.53%
1 Month
29.65%
decreased by 2.41%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 17, 2026 at 11:34 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 15, 2003 to Jun 18, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 98% more than equivalent positive returns.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0270 | 22.52*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0855 | 23.04*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8574 | 301.79*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0841 | 13.21*** |
Persistence:
0.985
Half-life:
46 days
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