V-Lab
FTSE TWSE Taiwan 50 Index Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, October 2nd, 2026
1 Day
17.70%
decreased by 0.74%
1 Week
17.82%
decreased by 0.62%
1 Month
18.24%
decreased by 0.20%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 09:40 PM UTC
Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 15, 2003 to Sep 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 101% more than equivalent positive returns.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 101% more than positive returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0278 | 5.80*** |
| αARCH | 0.0856 | 5.77*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8556 | 76.25*** |
| γleverage | 0.0867 | 3.40*** |
0.985
Persistence44d
Half-lifeμ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0278 | 5.80*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0856 | 5.77*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8556 | 76.25*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0867 | 3.40*** |
Persistence:
0.985
Half-life:
44 days
Other FTSE TWSE Taiwan 50 Index Analyses
Other Asy. MEM Analyses on Equity Indices