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V-Lab

FTSE TWSE Taiwan 50 Index Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 2nd, 2026

1 Day

17.70%

decreased by 0.74%

1 Week

17.82%

decreased by 0.62%

1 Month

18.24%

decreased by 0.20%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 09:40 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/01/2024

to

10/01/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of FTSE TWSE Taiwan 50 Index AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 15, 2003 to Sep 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 101% more than equivalent positive returns.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 101% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0278
5.80***
αARCH0.0856
5.77***
βGARCH0.8556
76.25***
γleverage0.0867
3.40***

0.985

Persistence

44d

Half-life
μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0278
5.80***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0856
5.77***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8556
76.25***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0867
3.40***

Persistence:

0.985

Half-life:

44 days