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V-Lab

FTSE TWSE Taiwan 50 Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026

1 Day

40.77%

decreased by 2.60%

1 Week

39.81%

decreased by 3.56%

1 Month

38.10%

decreased by 5.27%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 11:19 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of FTSE TWSE Taiwan 50 Index MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 15, 2003 to Jun 18, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

26
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8028
100.34***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1532
28.87***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0087
1.75*
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0410
2.87***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9538
56.81***

Persistence:

0.879

Half-life:

5 days