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FTSE MIB Index EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026

1 Day

19.37%

decreased by 1.01%

1 Week

19.49%

decreased by 0.89%

1 Month

19.93%

decreased by 0.45%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 04:05 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/02/2024

to

10/02/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of FTSE MIB Index EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1998 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 280% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 280% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0156
1.84*
αARCH0.1655
8.53***
βGARCH0.9771
228.79***
γleverage-0.0966
-5.70***

0.977

Persistence

30d

Half-life
σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0156
1.84*
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1655
8.53***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9771
228.79***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0966
-5.70***

Persistence:

0.977

Half-life:

30 days