V-Lab
FTSE MIB Index EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026
1 Day
19.37%
decreased by 1.01%
1 Week
19.49%
decreased by 0.89%
1 Month
19.93%
decreased by 0.45%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 04:05 PM UTC
Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 1, 1998 to Oct 2, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 280% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 280% more than positive returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0156 | 1.84* |
| αARCH | 0.1655 | 8.53*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9771 | 228.79*** |
| γleverage | -0.0966 | -5.70*** |
0.977
Persistence30d
Half-lifeσ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0156 | 1.84* |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1655 | 8.53*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9771 | 228.79*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0966 | -5.70*** |
Persistence:
0.977
Half-life:
30 days
Other FTSE MIB Index Analyses
Other EGARCH Analyses on Equity Indices