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MSCI Asia Pacific EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 23rd, 2026

1 Day

23.19%

increased by 2.19%

1 Week

22.97%

increased by 1.97%

1 Month

22.25%

increased by 1.25%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 09:03 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/22/2024

to

10/22/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of MSCI Asia Pacific EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Oct 22, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 185% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 185% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0069
1.45
αARCH0.1651
11.31***
βGARCH0.9782
278.28***
γleverage-0.0793
-6.36***

0.978

Persistence

31d

Half-life
σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0069
1.45
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1651
11.31***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9782
278.28***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0793
-6.36***

Persistence:

0.978

Half-life:

31 days