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V-Lab

Dow Jones Transportation Average EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, July 16th, 2026

1 Day

16.69%

increased by 0.12%

1 Week

16.94%

increased by 0.37%

1 Month

17.85%

increased by 1.28%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 16, 2026 at 12:04 AM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

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graph of Dow Jones Transportation Average EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 151% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0169
10.63***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1456
30.86***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9798
1,097.16***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0627
-14.58***

Persistence:

0.980

Half-life:

34 days