V-Lab
Dow Jones Transportation Average GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026
1 Day
17.46%
decreased by 0.56%
1 Week
17.71%
decreased by 0.31%
1 Month
18.56%
increased by 0.54%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 12:03 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 254% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0396 | 19.53*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0327 | 11.18*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9075 | 364.76*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0830 | 13.69*** |
Persistence:
0.982
Half-life:
38 days
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