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V-Lab

S&P/ASX 200 GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, July 17th, 2026

1 Day

9.05%

decreased by 0.21%

1 Week

9.37%

increased by 0.11%

1 Month

10.37%

increased by 1.11%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 16, 2026 at 07:02 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of S&P/ASX 200 GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 29, 1992 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0205
22.11***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0134
6.74***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8947
422.83***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1315
24.23***

Persistence:

0.974

Half-life:

26 days