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S&P/ASX 200 GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, November 5th, 2026

1 Day

9.88%

increased by 0.44%

1 Week

10.13%

increased by 0.69%

1 Month

10.93%

increased by 1.49%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 04:37 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/04/2024

to

11/04/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of S&P/ASX 200 GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 29, 1992 to Oct 30, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0204
5.54***
αARCH0.0136
1.73*
βGARCH0.8948
106.15***
γleverage0.1306
6.04***

0.974

Persistence

26d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0204
5.54***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0136
1.73*
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8948
106.15***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1306
6.04***

Persistence:

0.974

Half-life:

26 days