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EURO STOXX Price Index EUR GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, November 12th, 2026

1 Day

13.46%

decreased by 0.41%

1 Week

13.68%

decreased by 0.19%

1 Month

14.42%

increased by 0.55%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, November 11, 2026 at 07:22 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/11/2024

to

11/11/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of EURO STOXX Price Index EUR GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Nov 6, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0298
3.06***
αARCH0.0107
0.79
βGARCH0.8916
102.72***
γleverage0.1467
4.84***

0.976

Persistence

28d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0298
3.06***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0107
0.79
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8916
102.72***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1467
4.84***

Persistence:

0.976

Half-life:

28 days