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Dow Jones Euro Stoxx Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 23rd, 2026

1 Day

17.42%

increased by 3.66%

1 Week

17.43%

increased by 3.67%

1 Month

17.45%

increased by 3.69%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 06:20 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/22/2024

to

10/22/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Dow Jones Euro Stoxx Index GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0299
3.06***
αARCH0.0108
0.80
βGARCH0.8914
102.58***
γleverage0.1468
4.83***

0.976

Persistence

28d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0299
3.06***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0108
0.80
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8914
102.58***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1468
4.83***

Persistence:

0.976

Half-life:

28 days