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Dow Jones Euro Stoxx Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 28th, 2026

1 Day

13.64%

decreased by 0.49%

1 Week

13.86%

decreased by 0.27%

1 Month

14.56%

increased by 0.43%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 25, 2026 at 07:22 PM UTC

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graph of Dow Jones Euro Stoxx Index GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

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Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0300
3.06***
αARCH0.0107
0.79
βGARCH0.8912
102.49***
γleverage0.1473
4.84***

0.976

Persistence

28d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0300
3.06***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0107
0.79
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8912
102.49***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1473
4.84***

Persistence:

0.976

Half-life:

28 days