Skip to main content
V-Lab

Dow Jones Euro Stoxx Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026

1 Day

10.35%

decreased by 0.19%

1 Week

10.81%

increased by 0.27%

1 Month

12.25%

increased by 1.71%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 06:18 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Dow Jones Euro Stoxx Index GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0302
12.24***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0107
3.15***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8908
408.81***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1482
19.39***

Persistence:

0.976

Half-life:

28 days