Dow Jones Euro Stoxx Index GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026
1 Day
12.72%
decreased by 0.03%
1 Week
13.00%
increased by 0.25%
1 Month
13.92%
increased by 1.17%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 16, 2026 at 06:18 PM UTC
Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 1, 1990 to Oct 16, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 32 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 32 days.
σ
GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 32-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0280 | 3.28*** |
| αARCH | 0.0983 | 9.47*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8805 | 87.93*** |
0.979
Persistence32d
Half-lifeσ
GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0280 | 3.28*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0983 | 9.47*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8805 | 87.93*** |
Persistence:
0.979
Half-life:
32 days
Other Dow Jones Euro Stoxx Index Analyses
Other GARCH Analyses on Equity Indices