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Vietnam Ho Chi Minh Stock Index / VN-Index EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 2nd, 2026

1 Day

16.46%

increased by 1.56%

1 Week

16.87%

increased by 1.97%

1 Month

18.18%

increased by 3.28%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 09:40 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/01/2024

to

10/01/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Vietnam Ho Chi Minh Stock Index / VN-Index EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 28, 2000 to Oct 1, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 14 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 14 days.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 14-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0290
4.30***
αARCH0.3474
14.54***
βGARCH0.9531
131.73***
γleverage-0.0303
-1.79*

0.953

Persistence

14d

Half-life
σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0290
4.30***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3474
14.54***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9531
131.73***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0303
-1.79*

Persistence:

0.953

Half-life:

14 days