V-Lab
Vietnam Ho Chi Minh Stock Index / VN-Index GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, August 14th, 2026
1 Day
18.67%
increased by 1.08%
1 Week
18.83%
increased by 1.24%
1 Month
19.41%
increased by 1.82%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 10:25 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 12, 2010 to Apr 29, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 33 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 33 days.
σ
GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0410 | 10.39*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1188 | 29.80*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8608 | 187.86*** |
Persistence:
0.980
Half-life:
33 days
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