Skip to main content
V-Lab

Vietnam Ho Chi Minh Stock Index / VN-Index AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, August 14th, 2026

1 Day

18.64%

increased by 2.90%

1 Week

18.94%

increased by 3.20%

1 Month

19.91%

increased by 4.17%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 10:25 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Vietnam Ho Chi Minh Stock Index / VN-Index AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 12, 2010 to Apr 29, 2026

Model Insight

The news-impact curve is shifted (γ = 0.36) so that negative returns raise next-day volatility more than positive returns of the same size. The gap is largest for small shocks and narrows for larger ones.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0478
13.54***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1398
33.42***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8294
192.76***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.3592
10.14***

Persistence:

0.969

Half-life:

22 days