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V-Lab

Vietnam Ho Chi Minh Stock Index / VN-Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, August 21st, 2026

1 Day

16.78%

decreased by 1.43%

1 Week

17.12%

decreased by 1.09%

1 Month

17.71%

decreased by 0.50%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 08:13 PM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Vietnam Ho Chi Minh Stock Index / VN-Index MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 12, 2010 to Apr 29, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6514
41.10***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2602
26.29***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0765
1.11
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.1122
1.79*
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.8288
8.29***

Persistence:

0.782

Half-life:

3 days