Skip to main content
V-Lab

Vietnam Ho Chi Minh Stock Index / VN-Index Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026

1 Day

27.38%

decreased by 0.06%

1 Week

26.88%

decreased by 0.56%

1 Month

25.28%

decreased by 2.16%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 11:19 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Vietnam Ho Chi Minh Stock Index / VN-Index S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 12, 2010 to Apr 29, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 16 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.5308
5.58***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1187
6.79***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8387
35.34***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=3
γ10.2066
5.60***
γ2-0.2514
-4.31***
γ30.0476
1.23

Persistence:

0.957

Half-life:

16 days