FTSE 100 Implied Volatility Index 30 Days

CBOE EFA ETF Volatility Index

EURO STOXX 50 Volatility Index

How volatility evolves over time

How illiquidity evolves over time

{name} Model Equation

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Spline Coefficients

Value at Risk (VaR) estimates the maximum loss at a given confidence level. Expected Shortfall (ES) estimates the average loss beyond VaR.

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Param	Value	t-stat
mwindow	36
αARCH	0.0000	0.00
βGARCH	0.8198	51.36***
γleverage	0.1941	12.25***
λ₁tau intercept	0.0046	2.02**
λ₂forecast adj.	0.0526	2.69***
λ₃tau persistence	0.9407	42.59***

Parameter	Value	t-statistic
m window Rolling window length	36
α ARCH Response to squared shocks	0.0000	0.00
β GARCH Volatility persistence	0.8198	51.36***
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks	0.1941	12.25***
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient	0.0046	2.02**
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity	0.0526	2.69***
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence	0.9407	42.59***

V-Lab

MSCI World MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Date Range:

News Impact Curve

Volatility Forecast

Parameter Estimates

Other MSCI World Analyses