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V-Lab

Philippines Stock Exchange PSEi Index Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, July 10th, 2026

1 Day

17.28%

decreased by 0.34%

1 Week

17.78%

increased by 0.16%

1 Month

19.17%

increased by 1.55%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 10, 2026 at 08:31 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Philippines Stock Exchange PSEi Index AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 23, 1995 to Jun 11, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 46% more than equivalent positive returns.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0924
31.45***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1873
29.14***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7223
159.70***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0860
7.84***

Persistence:

0.953

Half-life:

14 days