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V-Lab

Philippines Stock Exchange PSEi Index EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, July 10th, 2026

1 Day

19.90%

increased by 0.23%

1 Week

20.11%

increased by 0.44%

1 Month

20.89%

increased by 1.22%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 10, 2026 at 08:30 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Philippines Stock Exchange PSEi Index EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Jun 11, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 79% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0211
11.40***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1754
18.12***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9777
594.32***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0498
-12.59***

Persistence:

0.978

Half-life:

31 days