Philippines Stock Exchange PSEi Index EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, July 10th, 2026
1 Day
19.90%
increased by 0.23%
1 Week
20.11%
increased by 0.44%
1 Month
20.89%
increased by 1.22%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 10, 2026 at 08:30 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 1, 1990 to Jun 11, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 79% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0211 | 11.40*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1754 | 18.12*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9777 | 594.32*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0498 | -12.59*** |
Persistence:
0.978
Half-life:
31 days
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