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Dow Jones Utilities Average EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 12th, 2026

1 Day

14.75%

decreased by 0.23%

1 Week

14.83%

decreased by 0.15%

1 Month

15.12%

increased by 0.14%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 02:26 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/09/2024

to

10/09/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Dow Jones Utilities Average EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 9, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 80% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 80% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0027
0.86
αARCH0.1673
10.84***
βGARCH0.9804
354.84***
γleverage-0.0477
-3.60***

0.980

Persistence

35d

Half-life
σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0027
0.86
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1673
10.84***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9804
354.84***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0477
-3.60***

Persistence:

0.980

Half-life:

35 days