V-Lab
Dow Jones Utilities Average EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026
1 Day
15.99%
decreased by 0.35%
1 Week
16.03%
decreased by 0.31%
1 Month
16.16%
decreased by 0.18%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 12, 2026 at 12:55 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 11, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 80% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
EGARCH Model
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Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 80% more than positive returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0027 | 0.86 |
| αARCH | 0.1679 | 10.86*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9804 | 354.05*** |
| γleverage | -0.0479 | -3.60*** |
0.980
Persistence35d
Half-lifeσ
EGARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0027 | 0.86 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1679 | 10.86*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9804 | 354.05*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0479 | -3.60*** |
Persistence:
0.980
Half-life:
35 days
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