CBOE Volatility Index

How volatility evolves over time

How illiquidity evolves over time

{name} Model Equation

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Spline Coefficients

Value at Risk (VaR) estimates the maximum loss at a given confidence level. Expected Shortfall (ES) estimates the average loss beyond VaR.

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Parameter	Value	t-statistic
ω const Unconditional variance weight	16.5756	1.20
α ARCH Response to squared shocks	0.0448	19.98***
β GARCH Volatility persistence	0.9944	214.49***
ν DF Student-t tail thickness	2.0046	3,032.73***

V-Lab

Sarajevo Stock Exchange Index 30 GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Date Range:

News Impact Curve

Volatility Forecast

Parameter Estimates

Other Sarajevo Stock Exchange Index 30 Analyses