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Sarajevo Stock Exchange Index 30 EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 2nd, 2026

1 Day

5.24%

decreased by 0.13%

1 Week

5.46%

increased by 0.09%

1 Month

5.93%

increased by 0.56%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 09:42 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/01/2024

to

10/01/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Sarajevo Stock Exchange Index 30 EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 15, 2010 to Sep 24, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 6-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst-0.2099
-2.28**
αARCH0.1473
3.67***
βGARCH0.8849
19.03***
γleverage-0.0065
-0.18

0.885

Persistence

6d

Half-life
σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

-0.2099
-2.28**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1473
3.67***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8849
19.03***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0065
-0.18

Persistence:

0.885

Half-life:

6 days