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V-Lab

Sarajevo Stock Exchange Index 30 EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 18th, 2026

1 Day

5.26%

decreased by 0.23%

1 Week

5.48%

decreased by 0.01%

1 Month

5.94%

increased by 0.45%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 18, 2026 at 09:58 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Sarajevo Stock Exchange Index 30 EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 15, 2010 to Sep 10, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 6-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst-0.2142
-2.31**
αARCH0.1505
3.71***
βGARCH0.8829
18.84***
γleverage-0.0069
-0.19

0.883

Persistence

6d

Half-life
σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

-0.2142
-2.31**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1505
3.71***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8829
18.84***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0069
-0.19

Persistence:

0.883

Half-life:

6 days