Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

Sarajevo Stock Exchange Index 30 GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026

1 Day

6.52%

decreased by 0.27%

1 Week

6.42%

decreased by 0.37%

1 Month

6.17%

decreased by 0.62%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 12, 2026 at 12:48 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Sarajevo Stock Exchange Index 30 GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 15, 2010 to Sep 10, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 8 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 8 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 8-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0112
2.26**
αARCH0.0517
2.58***
βGARCH0.8574
17.79***
γleverage0.0158
0.36

0.917

Persistence

8d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0112
2.26**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0517
2.58***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8574
17.79***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0158
0.36

Persistence:

0.917

Half-life:

8 days