Skip to main content
V-Lab

Sarajevo Stock Exchange Index 30 Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, July 17th, 2026

1 Day

5.08%

increased by 0.09%

1 Week

5.12%

increased by 0.13%

1 Month

5.25%

increased by 0.26%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 17, 2026 at 11:35 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Sarajevo Stock Exchange Index 30 AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 15, 2010 to Apr 30, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 16 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 16 days.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0054
11.27***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0433
10.42***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9166
157.74***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0067
-0.95

Persistence:

0.957

Half-life:

16 days