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V-Lab

Sarajevo Stock Exchange Index 30 Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 4th, 2026

1 Day

4.45%

decreased by 0.03%

1 Week

4.54%

increased by 0.06%

1 Month

4.83%

increased by 0.35%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 4, 2026 at 11:27 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Sarajevo Stock Exchange Index 30 AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 15, 2010 to Aug 27, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 17 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 17 days.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0050
2.76***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0399
2.57**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9217
41.39***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0041
-0.15

Persistence:

0.960

Half-life:

17 days