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V-Lab

Ghana Stock Exchange Composite Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, July 10th, 2026

1 Day

9.11%

decreased by 0.27%

1 Week

9.63%

increased by 0.25%

1 Month

10.85%

increased by 1.47%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 10, 2026 at 08:38 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Ghana Stock Exchange Composite Index GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 4, 2011 to Apr 30, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 9 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 9 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0452
11.69***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1422
11.26***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8022
73.13***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0361
-1.86*

Persistence:

0.926

Half-life:

9 days