Luxembourg Stock Exchange LuxX Index EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
24.32%
decreased by 1.91%
1 Week
24.21%
decreased by 2.02%
1 Month
23.82%
decreased by 2.41%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 05:44 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 4, 1999 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 59% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0170 | 13.82*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1776 | 32.34*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9743 | 767.16*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0406 | -9.27*** |
Persistence:
0.974
Half-life:
27 days
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