V-Lab
Deutsche Borse AG DAX Mid-Cap Index MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, October 7th, 2026
1 Day
13.92%
decreased by 0.36%
1 Week
14.27%
decreased by 0.01%
1 Month
15.46%
increased by 1.18%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, October 6, 2026 at 07:34 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 13, 1996 to Oct 2, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 44 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 44 days.
μ
MEM Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 44-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0320 | 2.36** |
| αARCH | 0.2345 | 11.95*** |
| βGARCH | 0.7497 | 61.05*** |
0.984
Persistence44d
Half-lifeμ
MEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0320 | 2.36** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2345 | 11.95*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7497 | 61.05*** |
Persistence:
0.984
Half-life:
44 days
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