Deutsche Borse AG DAX Mid-Cap Index MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 22nd, 2026
1 Day
16.24%
decreased by 1.33%
1 Week
16.48%
decreased by 1.09%
1 Month
17.31%
decreased by 0.26%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 07:20 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 13, 1996 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 44 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 44 days.
μ
MEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0319 | 9.41*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2354 | 47.73*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7491 | 242.90*** |
Persistence:
0.984
Half-life:
44 days
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