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Deutsche Borse AG DAX Mid-Cap Index MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 23rd, 2026

1 Day

18.29%

decreased by 0.71%

1 Week

18.44%

decreased by 0.56%

1 Month

18.96%

decreased by 0.04%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 08:06 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/22/2024

to

10/22/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Deutsche Borse AG DAX Mid-Cap Index MEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 13, 1996 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 44 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 44 days.

μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 44-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0320
2.36**
αARCH0.2344
11.95***
βGARCH0.7498
61.10***

0.984

Persistence

44d

Half-life
μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0320
2.36**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2344
11.95***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7498
61.10***

Persistence:

0.984

Half-life:

44 days