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V-Lab

Deutsche Borse AG DAX Mid-Cap Index AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026

1 Day

11.27%

decreased by 0.62%

1 Week

11.95%

increased by 0.06%

1 Month

13.88%

increased by 1.99%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 07:56 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Deutsche Borse AG DAX Mid-Cap Index AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 29, 1996 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

The news-impact curve is shifted (γ = 0.53) so that negative returns raise next-day volatility more than positive returns of the same size. The gap is largest for small shocks and narrows for larger ones.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0172
10.44***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1162
52.38***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8495
347.45***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.5264
39.96***

Persistence:

0.966

Half-life:

20 days