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V-Lab

Deutsche Borse AG DAX Mid-Cap Index AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026

1 Day

20.71%

decreased by 1.58%

1 Week

20.61%

decreased by 1.68%

1 Month

20.29%

decreased by 2.00%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 07:52 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Deutsche Borse AG DAX Mid-Cap Index AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 29, 1996 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

The news-impact curve is shifted (γ = 0.53) so that negative returns raise next-day volatility more than positive returns of the same size. The gap is largest for small shocks and narrows for larger ones.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0169
10.29***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1160
52.36***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8502
348.87***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.5278
39.98***

Persistence:

0.966

Half-life:

20 days